We have entered to our peak NEM month and let us crack the planetary wave conditions at present. By looking at 850hPa winds and MJO as we can see strong suppression over Indian Subcontinent and a fresh MJO waves heading from Africa as well.
As per weather models MJO will make a grand comeback on 2nd-3rd week of November.
From today onward a fresh set easterlies gonna comeback in Tamil Nadu and SAP. Already convective cells forming over east and NE and it expected to enter TN as well. The present conditions will prevail till Nov 8th and the next set of rains is expected to make a comeback on Nov 14th onward. Coastal regions of TN / leeward side of STN and North interior TN gonna receive moderate rains and will be heavy at times.